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Norman's Notes

Norman Bradbury's news and comment

Transport Activists Roundtable 16 November 2004

Kathryn Ross from the Environment Agency gave a talk on carbon trading proposals (more information later). It was noted that aviation and surface transport are excluded from phase one but should be included in phase two. Currently, the UK has set itself tougher targets than agreed at Kyoto but we are not as yet on target to achieve them nor are we likely to.

The Department for Transport has been reluctant to include transport in carbon emission reduction targets, regarding the problem as too complicated and expensive, but it has also ignored the potential of “Smart Travel”, walking, cycling and journey planning to reduce transport-related carbon.

It has also become clear that the DfT’s faith in technological solutions to the problem is misguided but the costs of other solutions are not as great as the DfT suggests. Worryingly, the DfT do not appear to have considered security of oil supplies.

The media transport activists roundtable is to organise a meeting on how to deal with climate change.

Baroness Ros Scott of the Commission for Integrated Transport gave a talk on CfIT’s work programme which currently includes refreshing the transport debate, looking at best practice elsewhere, getting Government Departments to work together, road safety and looking at mass transit applications.

She said it must be acknowledged that competition is not between bus and train companies but between public transport and the car. She added that CfIT was open to suggestions from non-governmental organisations and regarded transport activists as key stakeholders on climate change issues.

She said CfIT was a small secretariat and uses consultants for most of its work and is entirely funded by the DfT. She also thought NGOs should be more active at informing the media and personalities (like Jeremy Clarkson) on road safety issues.

When asked how the DfT could justify the current requirement to build in optimism bias at 32% for road and guided bus schemes but at 57% for rail, even though a number of major rail projects have now come in under budget, Baroness Scott said she could understand the historical reasons for this but this should be looked into, given Network Rail’s recent performance.

It was also suggested that CfIT should take an overview of TravelWise schemes as these are locally funded and DfT is not involved.

Finally, Baroness Scott said she would be pleased to attend future CORE TAR meetings and asked to be kept informed of dates.

Whitehall Update: Stephen Joseph circulated his latest report, details below.

The DfT has issued its transport budget, details on its website.

It was noted the local transport plan training sessions had been well attended.


Norman Bradbury 20 November 2004

Stephen Joseph's News from Whitehall

DfT sorts out budgets
The department is close to agreeing its headline budgets for the next three years. The agreement will set out headline totals for rail, road, local transport and London but there will also be regional totals across roads and local transport for each region. The first of these regional programmes for the West Midlands was press-released a few weeks ago, but others have yet to be confirmed (presumably because the rows over the-Manchester Metrolink and the Leeds and Portsmouth tram have delayed agreement). Decisions on individual outstanding road scheme decisions will presumably follow. Indications are that because of rail costs there will be little money available for anything else. The West Midlands release merely rehashed previous announcements. With this in mind, some Government offices have been telling local authorities not to submit more than one major scheme in their next Local Transport Plans (or possibly at most one further smaller scheme in the £5 to 10million area). The Government is likely to publish its final guidance on local transport plans on 14 December, to coincide with a big conference it is running with the Local Government Association on the Future of Local Transport, aimed at local authority politicians and chief executives. Ministers aim to use this to push for smarter transport planning, following up the smarter choices research. The Transport Innovation Fund will also be pushed - the aim is to fund plans that tackle congestion regionally or sub-regionally, to show what can be done.

Rail unclear
It is still unclear how the railways will be planned and administered under the new arrangements. Transport Secretary Alistair Darling has rejected a new Strategic Rail Agency but the outline of what is becoming known as DfT rail - how big it will be and what it will do - is still unclear. Mr Darling told us that he did want to grow the railways. The disappearance of the growth targets in the rail white paper merely reflected the fact that they were undeliverable and that he wanted the railways to concentrate on improved performance. Freight on Rail is meeting DfT this week to seek clarification on the planning framework for rail in general and railfreight in particular. At stake is the future of the SRA’s regional planning assessments and the people who have been doing them. Despite the Government’s noises about devolution, passenger transport executives are protesting that the Government proposes to take away their franchising powers, replacing them with a non-binding “memorandum of understanding”. Transport 2000 has found significant support for its growing the railways work, including from the CBI.

Roads: new forecasting guidance promised
At a Highways Agency Environment Committee last week, the Agency said that the DfT is drawing up new guidance on forecasting, modelling and appraisal, especially to take account of uncertainty. Despite the commitment to “locking in the benefits” from new roads, it is unclear whether this is actually happening. A new guidance note from DfT tells local authorities that the department will reappraise schemes where costs go up and reserves the right to cancel them. Overwhelming opposition is reported to the M6 Expressway idea but the Government may still proceed with it anyway. A proper response on road charging is promised in December or January (though it may be delayed till beyond a May election).


Briefing on carbon trading:

The implementation of the European Community Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme

Emissions trading is becoming an important part of the drive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Emissions trading gives companies the flexibility to meet emissions targets according to their own strategy. By allowing participants to trade in allowances, overall emissions reductions are achieved in the most cost-effective way possible.

The EU Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme covers emissions of greenhouse gases from
a number of industries, which are specified in the EU Emissions Trading Directive. Initially, the
scheme will cover only emissions of carbon dioxide. The scheme is due to start on 1 January
2005.


How will the scheme work?
The scheme is split into phases:
• Phase one runs from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2007
• Phase two runs from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2012.
Limits on the amount of carbon dioxide that permitted installations can emit are set for each phase. This will be done by Defra. (Due to issues over the cap on emissions this could be later than 1 Jan. 05.)

Operators of installations covered by the scheme are then free to trade in allowances. For example, for an installation that has emitted less than its allowances, the operator may sell the suiplus allowances to another operator whose installation has emitted more carbon dioxide than its limit allows. This flexibility enables operators to meet the national limit at lowest cost.


What activities are covered?
Installations falling within the remit of the Directive include:
• Energy activities
• The production and processing of ferrous metals
• The production of cement clinker or lime
• The manufacture of glass and glass fibre
• The manufacture of ceramic bricks
• The production of pulp from timber or other fibrous materials
• The manufacture of paper and board.



How do operators get a permit?
In order for installations to emit carbon dioxide after 1 January 2005, operators of these installations must hold a permit. For the UK, these permits will be issued by:
• Environment Agency — England and Wales
• Scottish Environmental Protection Agency — Scotland
• Department of Environment, Northern Ireland
• Department of Trade and Industry - UK offshore installations.

Operators of installations covered by the scheme must apply to the appropriate organisation to obtain a permit. The permit will contain conditions that have to be complied with in respect of emissions of carbon dioxide, including monitoring and reporting requirements.

Operators of installations emitting more than 500 kilotonnes of carbon dioxide annually must
submit their plans by 30 June 2004. All operators of installations emitting less than 500
kilotonnes of carbon dioxide annually must submit their plans by 30 September 2004.

The distinction between permits and allowances should be noted; a permit needs to be held to enable allowances to be allocated to an installation covered by the scheme, but it does not determine the actual amount allocated.

The Government has made an application to exclude certain installations from the scheme because there is an overlap with the voluntary UK Emissions Trading Scheme that started in 2002.

For information on trading schemes generally please see:
http://www.environment-agencv.gov.uk/business/444217/590750/590838

For information on the ETS -
http://www.environment
agency.gov.uk/business/444217/590750/590838/556574/?version=1&lang=_e

For information on the UK emissions cap please see the defra website, specifically their press Q & A at:

http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/trading/eu/nap/pdf/napcapqa-0410.pdf

CORE TAR — CLIMATE CHANGE 12/10/04

Tony Bosworth (FoE) circulated a paper on a proposed action plan for the group.

Malcolm Ferguson, Institute for European Environment Policy, gave his response to the paper. He said it was encouraging that the Department for Transport now included carbon dioxide reduction targets as did Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs and it would be good for TAR to keep up pressure on carbon dioxide reduction.

He warned we should guard against the notion that the Fuel Cell will solve emission problems and that oil insecurity will greatly influence transport issues, especially since the UK will become a net importer of energy for the first time in history by 2010 — North Sea oil will run out in 10 years.

The Government’s 10 year plan for transport fails to recognise these issues and it was noted the Department for Transport planning for traffic growth was based on the flawed
-assumption that oil- -would be priced at 20p/barrel even though the oil industry think we will never see such low prices again.

The only transport sector currently growing carbon dioxide emissions was aviation. Road transport emissions are static in spite of traffic growth due to technological advances but this situation will not be sustained without restraint on traffic growth. In any case, road traffic emissions are already far too high and it is worrying that the Department for Transport regard reductions of transport carbon dioxide contributions as too difficult and expensive — this is an important area for TAR to focus
on. Targets for year on year carbon dioxide reductions must be a campaign priority.

Land use planning and reducing the need to travel will be an important part of such a campaign as the Government was not addressing this issue at present but Malcolm Ferguson warned we must get our facts right.

It was suggested, and agreed, that we should set up a working party to produce a series of 10 point Myths & Facts leaflets on transport and the environment. These would be variously aimed at the Department for Transport and other Government Departments, Regional and local Government (LW’s), the media and the general public.

It was also agreed that Road User Charging schemes should focus on climate change and not just congestion.

On Whitehall matters Stephen Joseph said the Department for Transport still did not know how much its budgets would be

Ross Scott from CfIT will attend the next meeting on 16 November 2004.

Finally it was noted there would be a conference on Global Warming in Cambridge on 12 September 2005.

Transport Activists Round Table

1 September 2004

Report by Norman Bradbury:

The following subjects for transport activists over the coming year were selected: climate change, promoting "smart growth" and sustainable communities and social equity.

It was agreed climate change would be taken first with the first meeting arranged for 12 October 2004 with a guest speaker. Comments would be collated by Tony Bosworth and be submitted by 1 October 2004.

A change of name from Transport Activists Round Table to Transport Round Table has been proposed. No decision was taken but those absent from the meeting would be canvassed first. It was agreed the acronym TAR should remain.

Transport 2000's Stephen Joseph circulated copies of Whitehall Update (see below). There was concern that the Department for Transport seems to focus on accessibility issues being solved by buses with little attention to rail, walking and cycling.

It looks increasingly likely that escalating road costs may result in withdrawal of some road schemes but there was concern that other budgets might be raided to keep them on course.

The draft local transport plan guidance is very weak on climate change issues and there is no provision for traffic reduction targets.

Much of the work of the Countryside Agency will pass to a new Landscape Agency,

Time savings and related economic benefits claimed for the Birmingham northern relief road are being used to justify the M6 "expressway" toll road even though it is much too soon to assess induced traffic growth, both on the existing M6 and the relief road. Denville Coombe is doing some work on this for DEFRA.

Campaigning against the Bexhill-Hastings link road is very active in the area with meetings arranged during September. Ironically, Michael Howard is due to make an environmental speech in Hastings also in September!

It was suggested the roads transport activists roundtable should widen its approach to campaigning to include issues like climate change, economic benefits claims and Road User Charging.


Stepen Joseph's News from Whitehall

This is short this time - the main decisions were announced in July, and then people have been on holiday. However, there are some things to say:

General

Shortage of transport money dominates, given continuing high cost of the railways. This is the real reason for the rejection of the light rail schemes, and should also, if we're lucky, do for some of the worst local and national road schemes.

In general the impression I have is that congestion now dominates the DfT objectives and everything else is secondary . A Treasury official said that DfT was the least responsive Government department on sustainable development ("They just don't get it") in the spending review, while climate change, despite the target, will not be taken seriously by them if they can avoid it.

As congestion is not a rural problem, rural transport gets similarly downplayed (except in relation to accessibility). The Office of the Deputy Prime Minister is putting pressure on DfT on liveability, public spaces etc, in the wake of being given a new PSA target on this, on the grounds that dealing with streets/roads will be critical to achieving this PSA. This should be a useful lever for the walking and cycling groups.

Railways

It's becoming clear just how sketchy the Rail White Paper is. There are lots of unanswered questions, notably how the DfT is going to organise itself. Will there be a Strategic Rail Agency, like the Highways Agency, or if not how will rail franchising be organised?

How will the Government insulate itself from blame for every leaf on the line? Still lots of thinking being done on this. Several SRA functions - sustainable development, regional planning frameworks, strategic planning in general - have no clear destination or future.

Equally sketchy is the fate of the regional Rail Passenger Committees, on which the central Rail Passengers Council is supposed to be recommending action to Government (but on unclear criteria).

Local transport plans

Draft guidance came out in July, for comment by October (but thought to be more or less a done deal).

Good points: tough on major road scheme bids, emphasis on outcomes rather than outputs, pressure for strategic approach rather than scheme-based bidding, strong on demand management (at least in places), emphasis on accessibility and accessibility planning.

Weak points: climate change, road danger/speed management (missing almost completely), road traffic reduction, rural transport, public transport integration/networks, revenue funding, public consultation, rail (emphasis strongly on buses). Transport Innovation Fund and Community Infrastructure Fund (for the growth areas) still sketchy and to play for.

Roads

Decisions all postponed till September at the earliest. Shortage of money (see above) may fix some schemes.

Taxation

Transport Taxation Group met DfT/Inland Revenue people in August. We put pressure on for new higher VED band(s) and much bigger differentials (if they are not going to touch fuel tax), also more on workplace travel plans and separate business rate assessments for car parking (which is apparently possible under new valuation system).

National and regional transport activists roundtable

29 June 2004

Much of the session duplicated discussions during the CORE transport activists roundtable on 24 June 2004. However, more details of the forthcoming Government rail review were revealed. Cause for concern was the £2bn overspend left by the Rail
Regulator.

The Department for Transport will become responsible for letting franchises, taking over this work from the Strategic Rail Authority. Local rail services are likely to be included in local transport plans.

There are signs that the Treasury is interested in more stand-alone branch lines being let on long leases to micro-franchise/community-run services similar to the Wensleydale Railway which has just installed a passing loop for £45,000, a fraction of the cost Network Rail would have charged.

The St Erth- St Ives branch is thought to be a likely example.

There is an emerging conflict between DfT objectives to reduce global warming and the Treasury's need for motor taxation.

A five-year plan for transport is being considered as is an “untargeted” programme for iprovements.

A DfT study suggests “soft” measures could cut local peak traffic by as much as 20%.

The Government has responded to the Way to Go campaign and acknowledged diverting investment from road building to public transport would benefit lower income groups and social inclusion in contrast to road spending which mainly benefits higher income groups.

Congestion costs have been accepted as the most important issue related to road user charging benefits but this is because the environmental benefits are more difficult to value accurately.

After 2006, under the new First Great Western franchise, HSTs will loose “grandfather” rights. Services on routes like Swindon-Cheltenham will have to be equipped with selective door opening to call at stations with short platforms.

Alix Stredwick, ex Railfuture campaigns director, gave a presentation on “Cycling for Women in London”.

This has been prompted by increasing numbers of women drivers and related health issues. Fear of traffic is a major obstacle and it is clear more segregated cycle ways are needed to encourage more cycle use. Cycle theft is another issue. Some 15,000 thefts were reported in London last year. This is due to about 70% of people in inner London living in flats where secure cycle storage is poor.

Anthony Rae, Yorks & Humber TAR, has approached the area Regional Assembly with a business plan and a request for a funding contribution and has been awarded £1000.

Laura Wren is conducting a research project into the role of consultation in public policy-making, transport and land use planning.

The Commission for Integrated Transport has indicated it could attend two meetings a year with the Core TAR group. A National TAR meeting was proposed with Advantage West Midlands in Birmingham

There was concern over how funding could be allocated to rail services by regional transport boards because identifying rail costs at such local levels is difficult.

Norman Bradbury
30/6/04

Roads and Core Transport Activists Roundtable 24 June 2004

Road costs continue to escalate, with the projected cost for the Tyne road tunnel going up from £l30m to £300m.

The Targeted Programme of Investment (TPI) now extends to 140 road schemes and is projected to cost £8.3bn.

A decision on the A303 Blackdown Hills proposals is now expected in July.

Transport 2000's Stephen Joseph mentioned a proposal made to the Highways Agency to design some road schemes for lower speeds to reduce emissions and this idea will be presented to Transport Minister Tony McNulty.

An environmental assessment has come out in support of Alistair Darling’s decision not to approve dualling the A47 Acle Straight in the Norfolk Broads.

Proposals for a Westbury bypass to the east of the town have been opposed as most industrial activity and the railway station is to the west. It has also been pointed out that a rail freight facility would have to be located to the west. This is an issue that could be pursued by Railfuture Wessex branch.

Opposition to put a road on the proposed barrage across Morecambe Bay is building. The barrage is also intended to accommodate a wind farm.

A TAR group will visit the Department for Transport for a pre-consultation draft of the Local Transport plan guidance review.

150 MPs have signed the early day motion in support of the walking and cycling campaign. The Government seems to be warming to promoting walking and cycling.

It now seems likely the Countryside Agency will not be wound up before 2008.

The Prime Minister and the Chancellor are thought to be at odds over the budgeted increase of 1.9p on road fuel duty in September. It was noted the Government had not had second thoughts over the recent increases in rail fuel duty totalling 3.49p per litre since April 2003!

lO Year Plan/Whitehall Update: The spending review has been delayed to 12 July 2004, the rail review is due in the first week of July and the road user charging feasibility study should appear in mid July. The 10 Year plan will now include soft measures but the review has been delayed until the autumn at least and will now look at a 30-year horizon.

The Way to Go early day motion now has 167 signatures. SERA MPs have met Gordon Brown to discuss aspects of this campaign. The Treasury has acknowledged the measures proposed would contribute to traffic reduction at significantly less cost than road building while aiding health and obesity issues as well.

Concern was expressed that the rail review is likely to herald service cuts and closures. Responsibility for local services will be devolved to local authorities and it is feared this may be a move to separate the Government from blame for service cuts.

An aviation taxation group is to meet with the Treasury.

Norman Bradbury
30/6/04

Introduction

This a a blog where Norman Bradbury will give news about Railfuture and its links with other like-minded camapigning bodies. Norman attends a regular meeting of Transport Activists in London. It's called the TAR - transport activists roundtable. There are similar meetings throughout Britain.